‘Fate Of The Furious’ To Three-peat over ‘The Circle’

With everyone looking out for Guardian’s Of The Galaxy Vol.2 next week, the other spring blockbuster ‘Fate Of The Furious’ looks to three-peat over all of the newcomers. It will also become the 30th film to cross the $1BN mark and could go on all the way to the top 10 highest grossing films of all time.

Guardian’s Of The Galaxy Vol.2 continues its international roll-out as it opened in an additional 17 material markets yesterday bringing its international gross to an estimated $22.3M. We will be updating individual territory charts once the weekend has concluded, but for now here’s the breakdown:

  • Australia – $6.2M

  • France – $2.7M

  • Italy – $2.0M

  • Germany – $1.5M

  • Brazil – $1.2M

  • New Zealand – $1.1M

  • Philippines – $1.1M

  • Indonesia – $0.9M

  • Thailand – $0.7M

  • Sweden – $0.6M

  • Taiwan – $0.6M

  • Netherlands – $0.5M

  • Other markets – $3.2M

It continues its roll out this weekend with openings in the UK, Spain, Mexico, Turkey, Vietnam, Venezuela and Ecuador today.

After dipping 61% last weekend, Fate of the Furious is looking at yet another easy #1 finish as I expect it to drop around 41%, finishing around $22 million for the weekend as its domestic cume should be just shy of $200 million by end of day Sunday. Internationally the film has racked up $794.2 million so far and debuts in Japan this weekend as it will soon top $1 billion worldwide.

Looking to finish second is Tom Hanks and Emma Watson’s ‘The Circle’. It will debut in around 3,200 theatres where it’s expected to deliver a double digit opening. All the signals we’re seeing are pointing in that direction as well as our forecast is for an opening right around $16 million.

Of course, this weekend’s pre-release conversation doesn’t end with the domestic box office as Guardians of the Galaxy 2 is already in the midst of its international roll-out in which it will debut in 58% of the overseas markets. This includes openings in Australia, Italy, France, Sweden, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Germany, Brazil, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Spain, UK and Mexico. Next weekend Guardians 2 will arrive in ~4,200 theaters domestically with early tracking suggesting a $145-165M opening. Opening day-and-date with the domestic release are additional markets such as Korea, Russia, Argentina, China and India.

This weekend’s forecast is directly below:

1. Fate Of The Furious – $22.4M

2. The Circle – $15.9M

3. The Boss Baby – $9.7M

4. Baahubali 2: The Conclusion – $9.4M

5. Beauty & The Beast – $6.6M

6. How To Be A Latin Lover – $6.0M

7. Gifted – $4.2M

8. Born In China – $3.6M

9. Unforgettable – $3.3M

10. Going In Style – $3.2M


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